Thinkhouse

The Youth Lab

Spotify Wrapped & the Death of Christmas Number 1

If video killed the radio star, did streaming kill the chart topper?

For decades, the race for Christmas Number 1 was a once-a-year cultural drama. Now, December is ruled by a different ritual: Spotify Wrapped. With 700m+ people on Spotify and streaming making up almost 70% of global recorded music revenue, attention has shifted from a single festive chart moment to year-round, personalised listening.

In this edition of 52INSIGHTS, we explore how streaming, algorithms and Wrapped have quietly killed the Christmas chart fairytale, and who’s really benefiting?

THE “DEATH” OF THE CHRISTMAS NUMBER 1
Way back when, each December, the cultural spotlight used to fall on one question: who will land Christmas Number 1? In the UK especially, that single chart position once dominated TV audiences, tabloid headlines and household debates.

However, today's youth are more interested in Spotify Wrapped tiles than any week-by-week chart rundown. With streaming now the dominant format and Wrapped engaging hundreds of millions of users annually, the festive “race” has quietly become background noise.

To understand the “death” of Christmas Number 1, you have to start with the sheer scale of streaming. In 2024, global recorded music revenues hit $29.6bn, with 69% of that coming from streaming formats; total streaming revenues topped $20.4bn for the first time.

Spotify alone now counts around 713 million monthly active users and 281 million subscribers, with roughly a third of the global music-streaming market. This is the ecosystem that young people have grown up inside. Instead of buying a single once a year and rinsing until it’s unplayable, they live inside always-on recommendation loops, personalised playlists, and algorithmic “For You” feeds. By 2023, Spotify’s Wrapped engaged 227 million monthly active users; by 2024, that figure had climbed again.

Historically, the UK Christmas Number 1, tracked since 1952, was a singular cultural crown, from Al Martino’s Here in My Heart to charity singles and TV-talent winners. In 2023, WHAM!’s Last Christmas finally became Christmas Number 1 (40 years after its initial release) and then did it again the following year, the first song ever to clinch two consecutive Christmas Number 1s. That achievement says everything: catalogue nostalgia, fuelled by streaming, is beating brand-new releases to the crown.

“Xmas Number 1 doesn’t have the weight or importance it once had, Spotify Wrapped is more brand and fan-led. It's a talking point, not a goal for us.”
Record label insider

For todays young people, the “official chart” is now just one signal among many. A 2023 Official Charts survey still found 1 in 3 Britons see the Christmas Number 1 as part of the Christmas experience, but that warmth skews way older as younger fans focus on their personalised feeds, not national rankings.

Image credit: Giphy
EVERGREEN CATALOGUE BEATS NEW FESTIVE SINGLES
Streaming changes the maths of Christmas. A BuzzAngle analysis showed that festive-season streams jumped 74% in 2018 to 110 billion streams, illustrating how December has become a huge catalogue-mining moment. In 2025, Spotify reported festive music streams surging 250% from the start of November. Platforms push Christmas playlists, algorithms surface the same classics - and families hit “play” on what they already know.
The result: older tracks become seasonal annuities. The Economist has noted that this behaviour is one reason investors are obsessed with artists’ back catalogues; streaming pays out small amounts, but on a huge, predictable scale. New artists releasing a 2025 Christmas single aren’t just competing with each other; they’re fighting decades of entrenched listening behaviour.
PLATFORMS AND MAJOR RIGHTS-HOLDERS BENEFIT MOST FROM THE NEW SYSTEM
Wrapped looks democratic, but the incentives are skewed. Spotify turns user data into free global marketing, driving growth, retention and ad inventory. Major labels and rights-holders, meanwhile, reap reliable December revenue from catalogue tracks that are effectively on “autoplay” every year. This means that the system is structurally biased towards those who already have catalogue depth, playlist access and paid marketing muscle. For emerging artists, the new “Christmas Number 1” isn’t a single chart position. It’s getting enough streams, playlist placements and Wrapped shout-outs to cut through the noise.

“The disconnect between Spotify and artists is growing more and more noticeable to the everyday listener. And Spotify wrapped is a clear example. The end of year wrap for users is somewhat of a spectacle, with users flaunting their 1000+ hours listening to their favourite artist to their own social following. Highlighting the huge amount of listens artists collate from fans, from underground to mainstream.”
Ste McCabe, (26), THINKHOUSE

WRAPPED HAS REPLACED THE CHART AS THE DECEMBER “EVENT”Spotify Wrapped has quietly become the real year-end “chart show” for young people. It turns individual listening data into social content, producing viral tiles, personal rankings and leaderboards. In 2024, around 10.5 million users shared their Wrapped directly from the app, and past campaigns have driven massive spikes in app downloads (e.g. a 21% rise in the first week of December 2020). In 2025, Wrapped engagement hit 200 million users in 24 hours, and 500 million sharing actions (screenshots, downloads and other in app features), a 41% increase year on year.

This is engineered virality in action, users become micro-billboards for the platform and for the artists already winning the algorithm. For youth, that public “flex”, proving you’re an early adopter or a super-fan, is far more emotionally resonant than quietly tracking weekly chart positions.

“It’s an opportunity for fans to shout about their artists, tribes, and consumption in a format that they normally wouldn’t (e.g. posting across socials). In some cases, the artist is secondary to the conversation (people shout about their minutes consumed, number of new artists listened to, etc).”

Record label insider

THE FUTURE OF THE CHRISTMAS #1
Looking forward, it’s unlikely we return to a world where a brand-new Christmas single can dominate culture the way past hits did. Young people have grown accustomed to a reality where their feeds are personalised, their fandom is quantified, and their loyalty is shown in minutes streamed, not units sold.

The Christmas Number 1 hasn’t disappeared, it’s just been culturally sidelined, especially in markets like the UK & Ireland. But for younger audiences the real ritual now lives in Wrapped, sharing it, comparing it, and proving your taste (or not!). It has become a way of expressing who you are. With streaming now accounting for almost 70% of global recorded-music revenue and more than 750 million paid subscriptions worldwide, platforms and their algorithms aren’t just reflecting taste - they’re actively shaping it.

What was once a single shared moment, has been broken into millions of smaller ones, scattered across feeds, playlists and private group chats. The Christmas Number 1 still crowns a winner, it just no longer decides the conversation.

“Digital-native youth treat Wrapped like an annual identity check-in. The Christmas charts belonged to broadcasters, but Wrapped belongs to them. It gives young people a language for their own fandom and the digital receipts to prove where they showed up in culture. They want to share taste that feels personal, tangible and algorithmically theirs. That sense of ownership is the shift. It turns fandom into social currency, which is why Wrapped now has more cultural gravity than a Christmas Number 1.”
Ellen Corrigan, (29), THINKHOUSE

BRAND TAKEOUTSFor brands, the big shift is from chasing the crown to owning the behaviour. The opportunity lies in:
  • Partnering with artists who have strong catalogues that reliably spike every December.
  • Designing creative that can live inside playlists, Wrapped-style recap moments and user-generated social content.
  • Thinking of December as the culmination of year-round listening and storytelling, not a one-off stunt.
Align with how young people actually consume music: personalised, algorithmically-mediated, and proudly shared is key.

Brands that understand Wrapped-era fandom will care less about “What’s Christmas Number 1?” and more about “Where, how and why do young people hit replay?”